Looks like the Nates (Silver, Cohn, etc.) were no where near successful fixing their election prediction models. I'm betting it's the base social assumptions more than the math models. Garbage in, garbage out.

As I wait with this gut punch feeling for Michigan to land, I realize I need to reconfigure my whole relationship with news and politics and switch from trying chiefly to be correct in what I think to being effective in how I live.